21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)
UGX 199205
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Encouraging forecasters, political scientists, and students to be more innovative in predicting presidential outcomes.
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Product Details
- This monograph evolved from the author's peer reviewed, twenty-first century presidential forecast studies. Across 5 elections, the mean and median errors are 0.6 percent. The author's purpose is to encourage forecasters, political scientists, economists, and sophisticated students to be more innovative forecasters. The only prerequisites are an interest in modern American government and knowledge of basic regression analysis. Dr. Walker enhances Fair's voting model by introducing at least one new issue and additional data for each election. For example, the Korean and Vietnam wars were election years. Enhancing Fair's implicit assumptions reduces forecast errors. The analysis confirms that campaigns in only 7 states plus voting histories in 43 states determine most presidential outcomes.
| Book format | Paperback |
| Fiction/nonfiction | Non-Fiction |
| Genre | Political & Social Sciences |
| Publication date | August, 2024 |
| Pages | 140 |
| Subgenre | Comparative Politics |
| Series title | No Series |
| Edition | 1 |
| Publisher | Lulu Press |
| Original languages | English |
| Language | English |
| Is collectible | N |
| Retail packaging | Single Piece |
| Assembled product height | 9 in (22.9 cm) |
| Assembled product weight | 0.47 lb (210 grams) |
| Bisac subject heading | Political Science |
Product Description
21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)
Customer Questions & Answers
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What is the publication date of the book?
Answer: The book is set to be published on August 20, 2024. -
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Who is the target audience for this book?
Answer: The book is targeted at forecasters, political scientists, economists, and advanced students. -
Question:
What prior knowledge is required to understand the content?
Answer: A basic understanding of regression analysis and interest in modern American government is required.
David Walker All Books Editorial Review
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UGX 199205
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Features & Benefits
- Comprehensive analysis of 21st Century Presidential Elections.
- Mean and median forecast errors of just 0.6 percent across five elections.
- Introduces enhancements to Fair's voting model for improved accuracy.
- Includes pivotal historical contexts like the Korean and Vietnam wars.
- Focused on key states that significantly influence presidential outcomes.
- Ideal for forecasters, political scientists, and students interested in American government.
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